{
  "updated_at": "2026-09-05T15:02:35.543231+00:00",
  "prediction": {
    "within_5h": 0.2027,
    "within_24h": 0.5258,
    "within_48h": 0.6732
  },
  "confidence": "low",
  "next_reset": {
    "expected_time": "2026-09-07T08:45:00+00:00",
    "hours_until": 41.7,
    "status": "overdue"
  },
  "signals": {
    "tweet_count": 25,
    "hours_since_last_reset": 630.2932062833333,
    "next_reset": {
      "expected_time": "2026-09-07T08:45:00+00:00",
      "hours_until": 41.7,
      "status": "overdue"
    },
    "average_reset_interval": 70.04,
    "median_reset_interval": 47.08,
    "interval_uncertainty": 25.18,
    "std_reset_interval": 87.23215806256616,
    "min_reset_interval": 0.0,
    "max_reset_interval": 269.5,
    "interval_confidence": 0.6,
    "time_ratio": 8.999,
    "time_pressure": 1.0,
    "hazard_rate": 0.03061,
    "evidence_score": 0.1162,
    "tibo_signal": 0.1523,
    "community_signal": 0.6677,
    "release_signal": 0.6031,
    "llm_scores": {
      "reset_intent": 0.04800000000000001,
      "limit_complaint": 0.1392,
      "official_change": 0.1664,
      "reset_confirmation": 0.024000000000000004,
      "confidence": 0.482,
      "reason": [
        "Community pressure signal detected (score: 0.50)",
        "No relevant signals detected; possibly unrelated content",
        "No relevant signals detected; possibly unrelated content",
        "No relevant signals detected; possibly unrelated content",
        "No relevant signals detected; possibly unrelated content",
        "No relevant signals detected; possibly unrelated content"
      ]
    },
    "prior_applied": false,
    "interval_count": 12,
    "weekly_cycle_factor": 0.156,
    "explicit_future_reset": false
  },
  "main_factors": [
    {
      "factor": "630.3 hours since last reset",
      "impact": "+10%",
      "score": 1.0
    },
    {
      "factor": "Some reset discussion detected",
      "impact": "+3%",
      "score": 0.15
    },
    {
      "factor": "High community limit complaints",
      "impact": "+10%",
      "score": 0.67
    },
    {
      "factor": "Official release/change signal",
      "impact": "+12%",
      "score": 0.6
    }
  ],
  "reasons": [
    "Expected weekly reset window (last reset + 7 days) has already passed; no new reset confirmed yet, probability driven mainly by time pressure",
    "630.3 hours since last reset, well beyond historical median interval 47 hours, time factor slightly raises baseline probability",
    "Weak reset evidence detected (evidence_score=0.12), insufficient to confirm",
    "Main factor: 630.3 hours since last reset (+10%)"
  ]
}